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ARTICLES OF NES JOURNAL - VOLUME 43, No.2

FOREIGN DEBT AND AFRICA'S GROWTH PROCESS
By Dipo T. Busari Department of Economics University of [badan [badon, Nigeria

ABSTRACT

This paper examines the effects of external indebtedness on Africa's growth process using two samples. The first sample consists of five heavily indebted countries while the second sample consists of five countries with a low level of debt. The study uses the extreme bound analysis (EBA) and dynamic panel external debt and growth in the samples. The study found a robust negative relationship between the various debt measures and growth in the two samples, suggesting that external debt depresses growth in Africa. Furth African ,countries. The study suggests that, for sub-Saharan African countries to resume sustainable growth and development, the debt crisis in Africa would have to be urgently addressed. Macroeconomic management needs to be improved and the international lending institutions are required to playa prominent role in this regard. The study argues for debt cancellation for African countries.

IMPACT OF MULTINATIONAL CORPORATIONS IN LABOURSURPLUS UNDERDEVELOPED COUNTRIES:
General Equilibrium Approach
By Victor O. K. Bolodeoku Department of Economics University of Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria

ABSTRACT

The influence of international corporations on the world economy, particularly on underdeveloped countries, has become a source of controversy. Some critics argue that the activities of the multinationals have brought about unprecedented growth in the underdeveloped host countries. Others disagree and assert that the global profit maximization objective of these multinational corporations has brought them into direct conflict with the needs, aspirations and objectives of their host countries. The heavy capitalintensive technology of the multinationals contributes to a loss of employment opportunities and of real income. Some suggestions are proffered jor consideration by the underdeveloped countries, which will enable them to counteract the harmful effects of the multinational firms.

EXPLAINING CURRENT ACCOUNT BEHAVIOUR IN NIGERIA
By Louis N. Chete Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research Ibadan

ABSTRACT

A healthy current account balance has a crucial place in the macroeconomy and so does its connection to critical variables like national savings and investment, the exchange rate and competitiveness. There have not been many attempts to understand current account dynamics in Nigeria. This paper employs the co-integration and error correction technique together with the vector auto-regression methodology to explore the factors driving current account behaviour in Nigeria. The results are a mixed bag: while variables like the square of relative income, inflation, the degree of openness and the growth rate of industrialized countries are generally negatively correlated with the current account balance, others like net foreign assets (liabilities), the budget deficit and exports show a positive association

FACTORS OF LABOUR MOBILITY IN THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR IN NIGERIA
By A.A. Adebayo and S.I. Oladeji . Department of Economics Obafemi Awolowo University

ABSTRACT

In this paper we have conducted an analysis of the factors of labour mobility in the manufacturing sector in Nigeria. This was done by examining the forms of mobility among manufacturing workers, worker job tenure, retrenchment and voluntary withdrawal (quitting) in relation to the prevailing employment opportunities in the economy. The paper adopted a descriptive technique that empirically draws on the mobility experience of manufacturing workers sampled from firms in Lagos and Kaduna., Some form of mobility was found geographically, but restricted regionally. The workers demonstrated significant adjustment of career objectives. About 80 per cent of mobility among the workers from previous job to current ones was largely voluntary and motivated by economic consideration (i. e., better pay, better conditions of service and improved prospects for upgrading skills and promotion). Analyzing mobility trends in relation to the impression of the workers shows that employment opportunities have deteriorated. This perceived deterioration in employment opportunities appears to have significant implications for adjustment of career aspirations and increased length of job-tenure. In essence, the paper shows that labour mobility is directly related to how employment opportunities are perceived by the workers in the job market.

CAPITAL-LABOUR SUBSTITUTION AND ALLOCATIVE EFFICIENCY IN RESOURCE-USE: An Application of the CES Production Function to the Nigerian Petroleum Industry 1992-2000
By M.A.Y. Rahji and B.T. Omonona Department of Agricultural Economics University of Ibadan lbadan, Nigeria

ABSTRACT

The study estimated a constant elasticity of substitution (CES) production junction for the petroleum industry during the period 1992 to 2000. The data used for the study were obtained from the Federal Office of Statistics, the Central Bank of Nigeria and the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation. Multiple regression analysis using the ordinary least squares method, was employed for the data analysis. The study reveals that capital and labour are significant factors that influence the output of petroleum. The results, based on the value of the substitution parameter obtained indicate that substitution is possible between the two inputs. The hypothesis tested tends to suggest that capital investment increases at a faster rate than the number of workers. The test also indicates that there is allocative inefficiency in the use of capital and labour in the industry as the null hypothesis is rejected. Recommendations emanating from the results include, substitution of capital for labour and the improvement of labour productivity through training and re-training of the work force as investments on capital increase so as to achieve increased output.

INDUSTRIAL SUBCONTRACTING LINKAGES IN THE LAGOS REGION, NIGERIA
By Dickson 'Dare Ajayi Department of Geography University of Ibadan, Ibadan

ABSTRACT

This paper analyses the pattern of subcontracting linkages in the Lagos region within the contemporary held views of integration and industrial linkages. The paper shows that whether in terms of the number or volume, the spatial distribution of subcontracting varied markedly amongst the industrial estates/areas. Whereas subcontractors and subcontracting were found to be concentrated in just a few of the industrial estates/areas, subcontracting was identified in both intra- and inter-estates/areas. Considerable variation in production subcontracting linkages in terms of the number of flows became more complex in successive years.

SMALL-SCALE INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT AND DECENTRALIZATION IN GHANA
By John V. Mensah Centre for Development Studies University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast, Ghana

ABSTRACT

Since the early 1980s, there have been increasing efforts in Ghana to support small-scale industries (SS1s). This is evidenced by the establishment of institutions, credit schemes, technical and management services, and infrastructure development under the decentralization policy. This article reviews the various SS1 promotion strategies and identifies the activities of important actors related to SSI operations within the framework of the decentralization programme in Ghana. It calls for more co-ordinated participatory planning and management of SSI development programmes among the national and district authorities, traditional rulers, entrepreneurs, researchers and support institutions.

EVOLUTION OF POVERTY IN RURAL CAMEROON IN THE ERA OF GLOBALIZATION
By Francis Menjo Baye, Fondo Sikod and Samuel Fambon Department of Economics and Managemellt .

ABSTRACT

This paper examines the evolution of poverty profiles in the Cameroon in the era of globalization. Results indicate that poverty has become more widespread in 1996 than in 1984, and the severity, depth and prevalence of poverty is greater in the rural areas than in the urban areas. The implication is that poverty reduction and sustainable growth cannot be achieved without sufficiently empowering the rural population, especially via policies that protect their access to primary assets. The changes in the poverty profiles were attributed to six factors, notably: fluctuations in the monetary and exchange rate; public debt crisis; political pluralism and rent-seeking; openness of the economy; structural adjustment measures, and NGO activities. Some policy recommendations emanated from thea1ialysis.


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